AgentSkillsCN

oracle-sentinel

Polymarket 预测智能的自主 AI 代理。实时价格、深度新闻调研、鲸鱼交易预警、双模型 AI 分析。

SKILL.md
--- frontmatter
name: oracle-sentinel
version: 2.0.0
description: Autonomous AI agent for Polymarket prediction intelligence. Real-time prices, deep news research, whale trade alerts, dual-model AI analysis.
homepage: https://oraclesentinel.xyz
metadata: {"category":"ai-agents","api_base":"https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api","token":"$OSAI","features":["gamma-api","news-research","whale-alerts","dashboard-ai-agent"]}

Oracle Sentinel

Autonomous AI agent for Polymarket prediction intelligence.

Scans 190+ markets every 4 hours. Real-time prices via Polymarket Gamma API. Deep news research from multiple sources. Whale trade alerts for $5K+ transactions. Dual-model AI analysis with radical transparency.

Quick Start

bash
# Get active trading signals
curl -s https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api/signals

# Get all monitored markets  
curl -s https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api/markets

# Get prediction tracking data
curl -s https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api/predictions

# Get full dashboard data
curl -s https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api/dashboard

# Check system health
curl -s https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api/health

Dashboard AI Agent

Chat directly with Oracle Sentinel on the web dashboard: https://oraclesentinel.xyz/app

Click the chat button and ask:

  • "Analyze this market: [Polymarket URL]"
  • "Research and analyze: [Polymarket URL]" (includes deep news research)
  • "What are the current signals?"
  • "Show me your accuracy stats"

The AI agent fetches real-time market data, searches news from multiple sources, and reads full article content for deeper analysis.

Telegram Bot

For interactive market analysis, message: @oraclesentinel_pm_bot

Send any Polymarket URL and the bot will:

  1. Fetch real-time prices via Gamma API
  2. Read resolution rules carefully
  3. Check for loopholes in criteria
  4. Search and read full news articles
  5. Calculate AI probability
  6. Compare vs market price
  7. Return signal with full reasoning

Whale Trade Alerts

Real-time monitoring of large trades on Polymarket.

  • Scans every 5 minutes for trades > $5,000
  • Each trade alerted only once (no duplicates)
  • Includes full transaction hash for on-chain verification
  • Alerts sent to Telegram automatically

How It Works

code
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                    ORACLE SENTINEL                          │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  1. INGEST   → Fetch live prices via Polymarket Gamma API   │
│  2. RESEARCH → Search news (DuckDuckGo + Google News RSS)   │
│  3. EXTRACT  → Claude Haiku extracts facts (no opinions)    │
│  4. ASSESS   → Claude Sonnet computes AI probability        │
│  5. SIGNAL   → Edge calculator generates BUY/NO_TRADE       │
│  6. TRACK    → Accuracy tracker records every outcome       │
│  7. ALERT    → Whale trades monitor detects $5K+ moves      │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Monitoring Systems

SystemFrequencyPurpose
Market ScannerEvery 4 hoursAnalyze top markets, generate signals
Whale MonitorEvery 5 minutesDetect $5,000+ trades with TX hash
Price UpdaterEvery scanTrack market movements
Accuracy TrackerContinuousVerify predictions against outcomes

API Reference

Base URL: https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api

Endpoints

MethodEndpointDescription
GET/signalsActive trading signals with AI analysis
GET/marketsAll monitored Polymarket markets
GET/predictionsTracked predictions with accuracy data
GET/dashboardComplete dashboard data
GET/healthSystem health status

Response: /api/signals

json
[
  {
    "question": "Will X happen by Y date?",
    "signal_type": "BUY_YES",
    "ai_probability": 0.75,
    "market_price": 0.60,
    "edge": 15.0,
    "confidence": "HIGH",
    "reasoning": "AI explanation..."
  }
]

Signal Types

SignalMeaning
BUY_YESAI probability > market price by 5%+
BUY_NOAI probability < market price by 5%+
NO_TRADEEdge too small or low confidence
SKIPInsufficient data or coin-flip market

Confidence Levels

LevelDescription
HIGHStrong data support, clear reasoning, required for signals
MEDIUMModerate data, requires 15%+ edge for signal
LOWLimited data, never generates signal

Safety Overrides

Oracle Sentinel has hardcoded safety rules:

  • Only HIGH confidence generates BUY signals
  • MEDIUM confidence requires 15%+ edge
  • Market 45-55% (coin-flip zone) = automatic skip
  • Market >97% or <3% = automatic skip
  • Low confidence = never generates signal

The system rejects its own overconfidence.

Example: Fetch and Filter Signals

python
import requests

signals = requests.get("https://oraclesentinel.xyz/api/signals").json()

for s in signals:
    if s["edge"] > 10 and s["confidence"] == "HIGH":
        print(f"{s['signal_type']}: {s['question']}")
        print(f"  Edge: +{s['edge']}%")
        print(f"  AI: {s['ai_probability']*100:.1f}%")
        print(f"  Market: {s['market_price']*100:.1f}%")

Links

Powered By

  • Claude Sonnet 4.5 — Probability assessment
  • Claude Haiku 3.5 — Fact extraction
  • OpenClaw — Autonomous agent gateway
  • Polymarket Gamma API — Real-time market data

About

Oracle Sentinel runs autonomously 24/7. Every 4 hours, the system triggers a full scan cycle — no human intervention required.

Every signal has a number. Every prediction is recorded. Every outcome is verified.