AgentSkillsCN

Test Assumptions

从各类机遇与解决方案中提炼关键假设，按风险类型进行分类，识别那些“不得不怀抱信念”的核心假设，并据此设计轻量级的验证方案与测试用例。

SKILL.md
--- frontmatter
name: Test Assumptions
description: >
  Extract assumptions from opportunities and solutions, categorize by risk type,
  identify "leap of faith" assumptions, and design lightweight test cards.
argument-hint: "[opportunity-name-or-path]"

Identify and Test Assumptions

Extract assumptions, categorize them, prioritize "leap of faith" assumptions, and design lightweight tests.

When to use

  • •After creating opportunities
  • •When preparing to generate or downselect solutions
  • •Whenever a new idea is proposed and you need to surface risks

Input

  • •Prioritized opportunities
  • •Early solution sketches
  • •Interview snapshots and synthesis

Output

  • •Format: Markdown (.md)
  • •Location: assumptions/[topic]/
  • •Filename: assumptions-[opportunity-name]-v[version].md

Key concepts

  • •Five categories: Desirability, Usability, Feasibility, Viability, Ethical
  • •Assumption Mapping: 2D grid (Evidence Known x Importance)
  • •Leap of Faith (LoFA): Maximum 3 assumptions from top-right quadrant (Weak Evidence + More Important)
  • •Test Cards: Smallest viable simulation with clear success criteria

Process

  1. •Prepare context and confirm target opportunity
  2. •Story map candidate ideas
  3. •Generate assumptions across five categories
  4. •Run pre-mortem (prospective hindsight)
  5. •Walk OST lines (Outcome <-> Opportunity <-> Solution)
  6. •Normalize, deduplicate, and attach evidence
  7. •Map and prioritize; select maximum 3 LoFA
  8. •Design test cards for LoFA
  9. •Run tests, record results, update the map
  10. •Decide and proceed

For the full process, output structure, and templates, see references/identify-and-test-assumptions.md.

Follow the writing standards in _shared/writing-standards.md for all outputs.