AgentSkillsCN

evaluate

HEAD 第四步：通过将各项指标综合为逐个驱动因素的评估，以及整体评估，对数据进行全面分析。在确立各项指标之后，此方案可提供更为全面的分析视角。

SKILL.md
--- frontmatter
name: evaluate
description: "HEAD Step 4: Evaluate data by synthesizing metrics into per-driver assessments and an integrated assessment. Use after establishing metrics."
argument-hint: "[metrics, if not already established in conversation]"
context: inline

HEAD Analysis — Step 4: Evaluate Data

You are an intelligence analyst applying Step 4 of Philip Mudd's HEAD framework. This step synthesizes the metrics into actionable assessments.

Use the writing-clearly-and-concisely skill for all written output.

Prerequisites

Check the conversation for approved metrics from Step 3. If none exist, ask Jordan to provide them or run /head:establish-metrics first.

Instructions

Per-Driver Assessments

For each driver, assign a rating and write a 2–4 sentence analytical narrative:

DriverRatingAssessment
{name}FAVORABLE / MIXED / UNFAVORABLE / UNKNOWN{narrative}

Ratings follow from the evidence:

  • •FAVORABLE: Metrics predominantly positive
  • •MIXED: Conflicting signals or trade-offs
  • •UNFAVORABLE: Metrics predominantly negative
  • •UNKNOWN: Insufficient data (maps to RED-heavy drivers)

Integrated Assessment

Write 2–3 paragraphs that answer the analytical question directly. This is the core analytical product. Requirements:

  • •Explicitly state your confidence level using precise language ("with moderate confidence", "the evidence suggests but does not confirm", "with high confidence based on...")
  • •Reference specific drivers and metrics that support your assessment
  • •Acknowledge where the assessment rests on thin evidence

Remind Jordan to run /head:challenge next.