AgentSkillsCN

financial-analysis

分析财务报表、计算关键指标,并生成投资报告。适用于审阅收益、构建 DCF 模型,或对比公司财务状况时使用。

SKILL.md
--- frontmatter
name: financial-analysis
description: Analyzes financial statements, calculates key metrics, and generates investment reports. Use when reviewing earnings, building DCF models, or comparing company financials.

Financial Analysis Procedures

Overview

This skill provides systematic approaches to analyzing financial statements, calculating key performance metrics, and generating comprehensive investment reports.

Key Metrics to Calculate

Profitability Ratios

MetricFormulaInterpretation
Gross Margin(Revenue - COGS) / RevenueHigher = better pricing power
Operating MarginOperating Income / RevenueOperational efficiency
Net MarginNet Income / RevenueBottom-line profitability
ROENet Income / Shareholders' EquityReturn on shareholder investment
ROANet Income / Total AssetsAsset utilization efficiency
ROICNOPAT / Invested CapitalReturn on all invested capital

Formulas:

code
Gross Margin = (Revenue - COGS) / Revenue * 100
Operating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue * 100
Net Margin = Net Income / Revenue * 100
ROE = Net Income / Average Shareholders' Equity * 100
ROA = Net Income / Average Total Assets * 100
ROIC = NOPAT / (Total Debt + Shareholders' Equity - Cash) * 100

Valuation Metrics

MetricFormulaUse Case
P/E RatioPrice / EPSRelative valuation
EV/EBITDAEnterprise Value / EBITDAAcquisition valuation
P/B RatioPrice / Book Value per ShareAsset-heavy industries
P/S RatioPrice / Revenue per ShareEarly-stage/growth companies
PEG RatioP/E / EPS Growth RateGrowth-adjusted valuation

Enterprise Value Calculation:

code
EV = Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash and Equivalents
EV = Market Cap + Preferred Stock + Minority Interest + Total Debt - Cash

Liquidity Ratios

MetricFormulaHealthy Range
Current RatioCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities1.5 - 3.0
Quick Ratio(Cash + Receivables + Marketable Securities) / Current Liabilities1.0 - 1.5
Cash RatioCash / Current Liabilities0.5 - 1.0

Leverage Ratios

MetricFormulaInterpretation
Debt/EquityTotal Debt / Shareholders' EquityLower = less risk
Debt/EBITDATotal Debt / EBITDAIndustry-dependent
Interest CoverageEBIT / Interest ExpenseHigher = safer

DCF Model Structure

Step 1: Project Free Cash Flow

code
Free Cash Flow = EBIT(1-Tax Rate) + Depreciation - CapEx - Change in Working Capital

Projection periods: 5-10 years
Terminal value: Gordon Growth Model or Exit Multiple

Step 2: Calculate WACC

code
WACC = (E/V * Re) + (D/V * Rd * (1 - Tc))

Where:
E = Market value of equity
D = Market value of debt
V = E + D
Re = Cost of equity (CAPM)
Rd = Cost of debt
Tc = Corporate tax rate

Step 3: Discount Cash Flows

code
DCF Value = Sum of [FCF_t / (1 + WACC)^t] + [Terminal Value / (1 + WACC)^n]

Report Structure

1. Executive Summary (1 page)

  • Investment thesis (bull/bear case)
  • Target price and current price
  • Key catalysts and risks
  • Recommendation (Buy/Hold/Sell)

2. Business Overview

  • Company description
  • Revenue segments
  • Competitive landscape
  • Management assessment

3. Financial Performance Analysis

  • Revenue growth trends (3-5 years)
  • Margin analysis
  • Cash flow generation
  • Capital allocation

4. Peer Comparison

MetricCompanyPeer 1Peer 2Industry Avg
P/E
EV/EBITDA
Gross Margin
Revenue Growth

5. Valuation Assessment

  • DCF analysis with sensitivity table
  • Comparable company analysis
  • Precedent transactions (if M&A relevant)

6. Risk Factors

  • Industry risks
  • Company-specific risks
  • Macroeconomic factors
  • Regulatory considerations

7. Investment Recommendation

  • Price target methodology
  • Upside/downside scenarios
  • Timeline for thesis to play out

Output Format Requirements

Always include:

  • Data tables with key metrics
  • YoY (Year-over-Year) comparisons
  • QoQ (Quarter-over-Quarter) trends
  • Industry benchmark comparisons
  • Clear source citations for all data
  • Date of analysis

Red Flags to Watch

  • Declining margins despite revenue growth
  • Increasing receivables faster than revenue
  • Negative operating cash flow with positive net income
  • Frequent accounting policy changes
  • High executive turnover
  • Unusual related-party transactions
  • Goodwill larger than equity

Industry-Specific Considerations

IndustryKey MetricsUnique Factors
TechARR, CAC, LTV, Net RetentionScalability, TAM
BankingNIM, NPL Ratio, CET1Interest rate sensitivity
RetailSame-store sales, Inventory turnsSeasonality
HealthcarePipeline value, Patent cliffRegulatory approval
Real EstateFFO, NAV, Cap RateInterest rate impact